Endurance.Net Ridecamp Archives

Truman,  You have the right idea!  Let the data do the
talking.

Several people have posted me off-line that the HWC
does not keep records on horses requiring treatment. 
The best we can do is look at metabolic pulls.  To
look at "New Riders" you could look at the rider's
ride record and compare the number of starts to the
number of metabilic pulls.  

I bet an ace number cruncher like yourself could
generate the stats in no time.  

Regards, Pete

--- Truman Prevatt <tprevatt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

> Peter,
>
> The HWC committee could do an easy quick and dirty.
> I assume the HWC has 
> statistics for all the treatments over the past few
> years. Prioritize 
> those treatments into three categories, minor
> metabolic, major metabolic 
> and accidents (rider falls off - horse runs into
> fence, etc.).
>
> Break the treatments into distances categories - LD,
> 50 to 95 and 100. 
> Then take from the database the total number of
> starts in those 
> categories - both nationally and regionally. Then
> calculate the 
> percentages of LD treatments in each treatment
> category, 50 mile 
> treatments, etc. Do this nationally and regionally.
>
> You can do more but this simple number should be
> quick and dirty to 
> calculate and provide some very relevant
> information. If they want to 
> send me the treatment data - with the rider name
> redacted of course I 
> will be happy to do it.
>
> The best way to expose myths is to simply run the
> numbers. As Richard 
> Feynman was fond of saying - "Shut up and
> calculate."
>
> Truman
>
> Peter Harper wrote:
> > Bruce,
> >
> > We are all speculating.
> >
> > It would be very interesting to see the statistics
> on
> > the horses that have require treatment.
> >
> > I'm sure the Horse Welfare Committee maintains
> records
> > on how may horses require treatment every year. 
> > Truman or someone else goo with numbers should be
> able
> > to correlate the riders name with their AERC
> record,
> > ride distance, region or etc.  I've seen similar
> > analysis on the pull rates by distance and region.
> >
> > This would put to rest the argument about if LD
> riders
> > are more or less responsible that endurance
> riders.
> > Regards, Pete
> >
> >
> >      
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> -- 
>
> ?It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is, it
> doesn't matter how 
> smart you are. If it doesn't agree with experiment,
> it's wrong? Richard 
> Feynman, Nobel Laureate in Physics


     
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