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[RC] Steph's fallacious arguement (was: glass houses) - k s swigartSteph said: There were 10 horse fatalities related to AERC endurance events in 2006. (or perhaps 7 - I'm not postitive on the number). Even at 7 this is more in ONE year than the last TEN years of WEC's. Are we perhaps living in a glass house? Anybody who knows anything about statistics should know that this is a really silly statement to be making. The AERC has 20,000+ starts in a single year. The WEC has averaged maybe 200. In the last 10 years that means there has been (since the WEC is only once every two years) at most 1000 starts, and, if I remeber correctly, there were two horse fatalities during that time. 2:1000 (0.2%) is waaaaaaaay more horse fatalities per starter than 7:20,000 (0.035%) almost six times as many. And if one wants to make a valid argument with respect to number of fatalities, that arguement must take into consideration more than just the raw number of deaths, it has to at least take into consideration the number of participants. There may be reasons that the AERC shouldn't be throwing stones at international endurance competition; however, bringing up numbers of fatalities is not a valid way to demonstrate such. Fatality rates MY be a valid way to demonstrate it, but if one looks at fatality RATES (deaths per participant), then, indeed the WEC has a much more significant problem with dead horses than the AERC does. kat Orange County, Calif. :) =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Ridecamp is a service of Endurance Net, http://www.endurance.net. Information, Policy, Disclaimer: http://www.endurance.net/Ridecamp Subscribe/Unsubscribe http://www.endurance.net/ridecamp/logon.asp Ride Long and Ride Safe!! =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
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