[RC] Probably Not (was: Las Cruces, etc.) - k s swigartDawn Carrie said in comparing the completion rate of less than 30% for the FEI riders on the same course: Interestingly, the 5 non-FEI riders had an 80% completion rate. Something to think about? However, to answer her question, because the sample size is so small, the difference between the completion rates of the FEI riders and the non-FEI riders is probably not statistically significant. When I did a comparison of two years worth of statisitics (instead of just one small ride) where there were both FEI riders and non-FEI riders at the same rides, the completion rates for both groups came out to be about the same...about 60%, like it is for all 100 mile rides that the AERC has stats for. I asked the same question about 6 months ago when the completion rate of FEI riders at Ft. Howes was so much lower than that of the non-FEI riders, but investigation of a larger sample size did not bear out any such difference. The difference in the ride this week in New Mexico can most likely be attributed to random chance. Somebody with access to the actual statistics and their variability could actually do the math to determine whether the difference is statistically significant, but I am willing to bet that it is not...even though on the face of it, the difference seems huge. When dealing with small sample sizes, little differences can seem huge because just one rider can make such a huge difference in the percentages (e.g. only one more than the average number of riders completing finished the non-FEI portion of the ride, yet this one rider made the completion rate for the non-AERC portion of the ride appear huge). kat Orange County, Calif. :) =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Ridecamp is a service of Endurance Net, http://www.endurance.net. Information, Policy, Disclaimer: http://www.endurance.net/Ridecamp Subscribe/Unsubscribe http://www.endurance.net/ridecamp/logon.asp Ride Long and Ride Safe!! =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
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