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There are probably a lot of reasons for this and the meaning is 
difficult to determine unless it is taken in a larger context. If for 
example if the equivalent to Class A shows is going down in most breeds, 
then the issues is more related to people's desire to participate in 
horse shows than an Arab trend. The year 1990 is an interesting time 
frame since that was close to the year the IRS changes the status of 
deductions for horses - which had a huge impact of the Arab industry. 
That might be a transient event that had a significant impact. It might 
be that the numbers prior to 1990 were artificially high.

To come to some conclusion one needs to look at the trends in horse 
ownership in general, how these horses are being used, the trends in 
showing, trends in breeding in all breeds, the trends in trail riding, 
the trends in recreational performance events, e.g., CTR, endurance, etc.

If you only want to trail ride - why belong to the AHA? If you want to 
just do endurance riding with a gelding - why belong to the AHA? It 
would be interesting to see some nation wide numbers across all breeds 
and events.

Truman

SandyDSA@xxxxxxx wrote:

> Understanding that endurance is not relegated to Arabians, clearly 
> Arabians dominate the sport. It would seem that this statistic below 
> just released from AHA is pertinent:
> *Only five percent of our horses are under five years of age. The 
> charts showed that the regional shows and the U.S. Nationals continue 
> to climb upward, while local Class A shows are spiraling downward. 
> Over 50 percent of the Class A shows held have less than 125 horses; 
> 30 percent have less than 75 horses. There was a slight drop in 
> transfers of Half-Arabians, and a significant drop in Purebred 
> transfers. Membership has declined by 10,000 since 1990. **If we 
> continue to do business as usual, we will be "out of business" in the 
> year 2014.
> *



--

“With or without religion, you would have good people doing good things 
and evil people doing evil things. But for good people to do evil 
things, that takes religion.” Steven Weinberg – Nobel Laureate, Physics



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