Re: [RC] Dr. Frazier's 03 PAC speech - Maggie Mieske
A 90% completion rate is wonderful if all we are looking
at are pulls. We aren't talking about "pulls" we are talking about
"deaths" in comparison (plural). Ms. Anderson is a braver woman than
I! I don't know how Dr. Frazier arrives at his conclusions but he was
right, wasn't he? I think it's valid to consider why 88 horses are still
alive and one is not.
His prediction that 1 of 89 starters would
die was based on what specific set of statistics? Elite 100 mile rides
U.S. based? All 100 mile rides over x # of years?
Is there a correlation between ride prestige and
higher death rate than in overall rides?
Ms. Anderson, might be fair to add Ms.
Butler-Dial's completion rate over all those miles is better than
90%.