Re: [RC] [RC] Critical Thinking/The six rules of evidential reasoning /was petcommunicators - Tamara Woodcock
From: "Dolores Arste" <darste@xxxxxxx>
Subject: RE: [RC] Critical Thinking/The six rules of evidential
reasoning /was pet communicators
"The Six Rules of Evidential Reasoning"
These rules presume that we know everything this is to know. In a book
called "Mozart and the Fighter Pilot" the brain and its functions are
explored. And, there is just so much we do not know. In D'Darte's times it
was thought that animals could not feel pain. He is quoted as saying "In is
incredible that they are so good a feigning the feelings of pain". This is
what science concludes.
***
No, this is what science *concluded*, until the evidence pointed out
differently. Don't mix up past and present. It is ridiculous to say that
just because something was believed in the past to be true and is now false,
that it means that anything believed true now is catagorically false.
Actually the critical thinking presumes we *don't* know everything, but
aren't gullible enough to believe it without evidence...
***
So now we know this is not true. The brain translates messages into actions
in an unknown way. I personally have had a long distance telepathic
experience with a favorite dog. There are test going on right now that
prove
that a dog can determine the exact time an owner leaves from work. Even
though that work is 20 miles away.
***
And if research demonstrates beyond coincidence that this is so, I will
change my belief. Such extraordinary claims, as telepahy in any man or
beast, requires extraordinary evidence. It is not *my* burden to prove this
false, but rather *your* burden to prove that it is so. Prove that pet
communicators are not deluding themselves and their marks. Double-blind
tests under controlled circumstances would work for me.
Even if your dog should have fetched his ball the exact moment you
telepathically asked him to do so over long distance; this is not evidence
of telepathy. As a believer in psi, you ignore this when you conclude that,
after numerous subsequent attempts in long distance telepathy with your
favorite dog have failed to produce the original positive result (ie Fideo
did not go fetch the ball...), that telepathy must be too elusive to
measure, or intermittent, effected by sunspots, cosmic dust, or something
else to account for this lack of replicability. Applying Occam's Razor, the
honest conclusion would be that the original positive result must have been
a coincidence...
One should not presume that the world is flat even if it stands up to
current knowledge and testing. JMHO.
Why not? Just because the sky is blue and it's blueness stands up to
current knowledge and testing, should I instead believe the sky is actually
purple with pink and yellow polka dots?
For myself, being a responsible adult means accepting the fact that almost
all knowledge is tentative, and accepting it with grace and cheer for I
might be required to change my beliefs tomorrow, *if the evidence warrants*,
and I am able and willing to do so. After all, the world *was* flat until
evidence proved it otherwise...
I am quite aware that just because I have examined all the evidence
available today is no guarantee that there will not be new and disconfirming
evidence tomorrow, but it does guarantee that I have good reasons for
believing the claim. It guarantees that I have sold my belief for a fair
price, and that it has not been stolen from me. So until *you* can prove
psychic communication with your dog, beyond coincidence, don't expect anyone
else to think you aren't a loon. Prove it and I will be the first to
congradulate you!
-Tamara
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